Exposing Ideas to the Envelope of Serendipity



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Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Coincidence?


This same chart was published on July 30th, 2009 and we look to be on track, but today we had one piece of this puzzle revealed to us by the FED report.

Coincidence? The Fed will stop buying Treasury bills by the end of October.
That would coorespond to orange flag pole #2 below.

This is beginning to feel like Hurricane Forcasting (and it's the right time of year!).
We now just have to figure out what path will take us towards that goal.

Carefully watching $USD, Gold, TLT, TBT and /ES and SPX as these will be our guides.

Perhaps a Monte Carlo Simulation could give a value at risk assessment here on $SPX....



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